By the Numbers: Iowa St. at Kansas

Phog.net
Posted Feb 24, 2007


The Jayhawks are favored big-time, but obviously Iowa State has been able to hang with KU this season.  Just a few weeks ago, it took overtime to put the Cyclones away, and that was with all KU starters healthy.  Let’s see what the numbers say about this game.

 

Kansas

Iowa State

Talent Indicators

Div I Records

24-4

13-3

AP Rank

6

NR

Pomeroy Rating
(Updated daily)

2

124

Consensus Ranking
(Updated periodically - avg several computer ratings and polls)

7

124

RPI

14

135

Best opponents defeated this season
(Ranking from Pomeroy)

vs Florida (# 4) W 82-80 (OT)
vs Boston College (# 34) W 84-66

vs Oklahoma (# 28) W 58-51
@ Missouri (# 44) W 66-65

Predictions
This section gives you a flavor of what different prediction techniques indicate for this game.

 

 

Vegas Oddsmakers

 Win by 22
Projection: 76-54

 

Prediction Tracker
 (Average of several power ratings)

Win by 22

Sagarin Power Ratings (Predictor)

Win by 24.7

 

Pomeroy
(Efficiency and Tempo-Adjusted)

Win 74-51
99% chance of victory

 

Last 10 Games
(Uses team performance and consistency over last 7 home/non-home games, whichever pertains to this game + 3 other most recent games regardless of location.  If 7 venue-appropriate games not available, fewer than 10 total games are used.)

Win by 28.7
99.993% chance of victory

 

Weighted Average of All Models Above
(30% Vegas + 20% Prediction Tracker + 15% Sagarin + 15% Pomeroy + 20% Last 10)

Win by 23.9
Projection: 76-52

 

PSAN Player Ratings – Cumulative Season

For more information behind the methodology of PSAN ratings, visit this page.  Ratings are shown only for players who average at least 8 minutes per game.

Note: ePSAN70 weighs recent games more, but cPSAN70 weighs all games equally

Kansas

ePSAN70 ("Efficiency" - per 70 possessions)
ePSAN ("Total Impact")

PLAYER

ePSAN70

ePSAN

Julian Wright

6.39

120.85

Darnell Jackson

6.08

62.95

Sherron Collins

5.29

83.53

Darrell Arthur

4.98

68.27

Mario Chalmers

4.60

94.51

Russell Robinson (OUT)

4.42

86.51

Brandon Rush

3.95

88.93

Sasha Kaun

3.72

42.51

Iowa State

cPSAN70 ("Efficiency" - per 70 possessions)
cPSAN (“Total Impact”)

PLAYER

cPSAN70

cPSAN

Wesley Johnson

3.40

67.69

Cory Johnson

3.06

20.65

Jiri Hubalek

1.74

20.32

Jessan Gray

1.03

8.14

Rahshon Clark

0.91

16.49

Ross Marsden

0.03

0.10

Mike Taylor

-0.72

-15.15

Dodie Dunson

-1.63

-22.97

Corey McIntosh

-2.65

-38.01

Derived from stats at KenPom.com

NOTE: From top to bottom, the statistics are sorted such that, at the top are the greatest advantages to the team on the left,
and at the bottom are the greatest advantages for the team on the right. 

Clear Advantage for Kansas

No Clear Advantage

Clear Advantage for Iowa State

Iowa State eFG%**

 

 

Iowa State 2pt FG%**

 

 

Iowa State % Poss STL by Opp**

 

 

Iowa State 3pt FG%**

 

 

Kansas % Poss STL by Opp

 

 

Iowa State TO rate**

 

 

Iowa State PTS/Poss**

 

 

Kansas 3pt FG%

 

 

Kansas TO rate

 

 

Iowa State FT Rate

 

 

Iowa State % own 2FGA's blocked**

 

 

Kansas % own 2FGA's blocked**

 

 

Iowa State FT%**

 

 

 

Kansas FT%

 

 

Iowa State OREB

 

 

Kansas PTS/Poss

 

 

Kansas OREB

 

 

Kansas eFG%

 

 

Kansas 2pt FG%

 

 

 

Kansas FT Rate**

** Denotes that team with advantage also ranks in Top 50 in that category



Related Stories
Stat Geek Sheet: Kansas
 -by CycloneSportsReport.com  Feb 24, 2007
Cyclones Fizzle in the Fieldhouse
 -by Phog.net  Feb 25, 2007
Self: ISU Postgame Audio
 -by Phog.net  Feb 25, 2007

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